RESEARCH METHODOLOGY POSTER PRESENTATION ABSTRACTS
Please note: All posters will be displayed in Salons 10-12.

THURSDAY, 5:30-6:15 PM


Aickin M.

Randomization in Early-Phase CAM Trials.

Program in Integrative Medicine, and Department of Family & Community Medicine, University of Arizona maickin@earthlink.net

Following the very strong advice of allopathic researchers, CAM/IM researchers have tended to randomize study participants to treatment groups, even in rather early-phase, very small studies. A number of reasons will be detailed why this is a weak research strategy. Most of the arguments favoring randomization are misleading or wrong. In particular:

1. Randomization does not balance the treatment groups in small studies, or studies with multiple analysis groups, when there are a reasonable number of prognostic factors.
2. Randomization is not the only method of balancing unmeasured variables in large trials; in fact it is one of the least efficient ways of doing this.
3. It is not appropriate to ignore prognostic factors in the analysis of a randomized trial, since this creates bias.
4. The fundamental statistical justification for randomization (that it validates the analysis) is based on several misconceptions.
5. It is not difficult to employ balancing methods that improve on randomization, and usually quite considerably so..

Some of these facts have been known since Taves' seminal article published thirty years ago, and others emerge from recent research. The overall conclusion is that editors, referees, grant reviewers, and researchers themselves should seriously revisit the issue of randomization in small studies, and consider whether the above facts do not suggest that it is out of place. Several alternatives to randomization will be indicated and resources identified.

 

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